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Will likely be excited to get back on Bermuda. Jon Rahm is a +650 favorite to triumph at Bay Hill. Previous rank: 22 1. It's the third ace of his career. 1 Jon Rahm. As one of three invitationals on Tour, its an invite-only field of 120 players and provides automatic three-year exemption status to the winner of the event instead of the standard two years. Justin Thomas (+1200) With seven top-10 finishes this season, including at the Masters in April, the 14-time. Itd be dumb to ignore him at a course that requires elite driving, and he gained 4.6 OTT here in a 13th last year. He finished second in the Saudi International, 2 shots behind LIV Golf's Abraham Ancer, and collected $525,000. Rahm still has the lead in the FedEx Cup points race. 6. He won the Fortinet Championship in September and then cooled off. Morikawa showed a lot of backbone by finishing third at the Farmers Insurance Open, his first start after blowing a 6-shot lead in the final round of the Tournament of Champions. Cameron Smith will not be in the field to defend his title due to leaving for LIV Golf. Viktor Hovland Of the 23 Player Impact Program winners, the only not to commit is Tiger Woods. 16. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas, Sam Burns, Jordan Spieth and Hideki Matsuyama will be among the notables considered in Golfbet Insider. He finished 10th in the Genesis Invitational last season, after claiming his second PGA Tour win in the event in 2021. The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hillbrings out many of the best players in the world due to its rich history and the new elevated status it holds on the PGA Tour. He's as hot as they come entering the Honda Classic, having won in Abu Dhabi a month ago (for a European Tour event) then finishing as the runner-up in Phoenix earlier this month. Returning participants will be greeted to a course that will be wholly familiar. He finished in a tie for third at 15-under. Ranks 1st in the model, 3rd in SG: OTT, 3rd in High Winds and 3rd in GIRs Gained. He had made 13 straight cuts, which was the longest active streak on tour. He is scheduled to play at Riviera. Ranks 4th in SG: APP and 7th in Proximity: 200+ Yards. Ranks 22nd in High Winds. Ranking Four World Championship Tournaments. Scheffler had a round of 9-under 62 in the second round in Phoenix, which was his fifth career round of 62 or lower. "I mean, I hate them," Hahn said during a phone interview with Golfweek that interrupted his gym workout. J.T. Scheffler is the defending champion at Bay Hill, as he edged out Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel by a single stroke. After his runner-up finish at the WM Phoenix Open, Cantlay has finished inside the top five in 21 of his past 24 rounds played. It is time for the first opportunity event of the season. The challenge for him will be a poor history so far in high winds. To go forward, we must go back for a moment and tie off a loose end. He outlasted a couple of huge longshots in Eric Cole and Ryan Gerard, both of which would have been incredible stories on their own. Well look at SG: Approach as well as Greens in Regulations Gained to get a grasp on the guys who will be avoiding trouble with their irons this week and making plenty of pars. The Dick Wilson design is a course that does not allow players to get too creative strategically. Look for his following contributions as scheduled. The tee-to-green play was still there, and now the World No. It's difficult to believe that it has been 456 days since DJ last won a PGA Tour event -- the 2020 Masters that was played in November. He had a 1-shot lead at the Sandersons Farms Championship in October and tied for eighth. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Patrick Cantlay : Cantlay quickly brushed off his surprising struggles in Phoenix with a 3rd at Riviera. Zalatoris didn't play in Phoenix after he was forced to pull out of the AT&T Pebble Pro-Am a week earlier after testing positive for COVID-19. TUESDAY*: Power Rankings (Puerto Rico), Sleepers (API), SUNDAY: Payouts and Points (API), Payouts and Points (Puerto Rico), Medical Extensions, Qualifiers, Reshuffle. Lee also was T-13th at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic where he finished ahead of names like Rasmus and Nicolai Hojgaard, Perez, Tyrrell Hatton, etc. So, course management and accepting par as a great score at times will be key. Ranks 2nd in SG: P and 16th in the model. He was playing incredibly consistent golf before that, and his history at Arnold Palmer is very strong with a pair of 3rd place finishes and nothing worse than 21st in 4 tries. (Stacy Revere/Getty Images) The Grateful Dead didn't release an album about 2020, but the band . He led the field in shots gained: approach this past weekend, the first time he has accomplished that since the 2022 U.S. Open at Brookline. The short game has been way off, but the ball striking continues to be there. 7 in the world last week, JT said, "I tried to stop looking because, yeah, it pisses me off, too. 10. Jon Rahm is a +650 favorite to triumph at Bay Hill. Well see if history repeats itself again, and Scottie is clearly locked in. Bradley was just 2nd at Torrey Pines in a great field, and he has a 2nd and 3rd at Bay Hill. A cozy field of 120 is chasing a winners cut of 550 FedExCup points and $3.6 million from a prize fund of $20 million. Previous rank: 12 Previous rank: 19 Factors at play on the rankings are (in no order): Using the guidelines above to create a statistical model, value can be found in the betting market by highlighting players whose outlook for the tournament may be flying under the radar to the general public. Previous rank: 4 Hes found success on the Australasian Tour, Asian Tour, DP World Tour, etc. Finau has (barely) cooled off from his sizzling stretch last season, in which he won in back-to-back starts and was ninth at the Tour Championship. There may not be a man in golf Id rather have standing over the ball in high winds. 18. The Australian took the week off after finishing in a tie for fourth at the Saudi International. After opening with a 70 in Phoenix, he caught fire over the final 54 holes to tie for sixth. Make no mistake, however, par still remains a terrific score on the course. pic.twitter.com/xwhDvl8Wrn, "The best bunker shot Jordan has ever hit. pic.twitter.com/djDjZuFQFy, 321 yards 13 feet@MaxHoma23 with one of the best drives of the week on 17 @WMPhoenixOpen. Sungjae Im : Im not going to make the mistake of dismissing Sungjae this week because of a couple of mediocre results at Honda and Riviera. 2 ranked player in the world. Ranks 3rd in Proximity: 200+ Yards and 5th in the model. 35 on No. Scheffler is atop the OWGR for the second time in his career, after spending 30 weeks at No. A week after picking up his first PGA Tour victory, in his 203rd career start, at Pebble Beach, Hoge followed it with another top-15 at TPC Scottsdale. Collin Morikawa 5. The goal will be to hit shorter irons into challenging targets with invisible forces poised to smack even properly executed strikes out of the sky. He finished tied for third, his first top-20 finish in his past 11 tour starts. 16. Since winning the Shriners Children's Open in October, he tied for fifth at the Tournament of Champions and for sixth at the American Express. Day climbed from No. Hes a Louisianan, but he tends to play his best golf in the southeastern United States. He claimed the Houston Open in November and has four straight finishes of 16th or better since then, after finishing in a tie for 14th at Phoenix. Look for his following contributions as scheduled. Pictured: Rory McIlroy (left) and Brooks Koepka. Brutally difficult conditions led to Scottie Scheffler persevering to win at 5-under last year. The product of Arizona State University has already won three times this season, including two weeks ago at Riviera, and he has not finished outside the top 10 in any of his seven starts. Putting can give you some real success at Bay Hill. All four Par 3s, all four Par 5s and a few Par 4s will likely require a long iron this week at Bay Hill. Ranks 1st in SG: OTT and 1st in GIRs Gained. 25. Finishes of 10th and 38th at Bay Hill with elite ball striking. No one is exactly sure why, considering Im likes to play -- a lot. Yeah, you might want to move those next year. Daytime temperatures will eclipse 80 degrees and the threat for rain is relegated to a passing shower at worst. Rickie Fowler : You cant look past Fowlers recent iron play, as the former top 5 player has gained more than 15 strokes on approach in his last three starts. Shortest in odds and claiming top honor is Sungjae Im. Our experts have a couple of Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions that they like, but their best bet is on Will Zalatoris to win outright with +2200 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. 4 @WMPhoenixOpen. It guarantees that someone else will be holding the trophy. By Friday, thatll be the sustained average for the prevailing push from the southwest, while gusts will reach 35 mph. As usual, a longshot that makes the top-25 this week is Alex Smalley. As it has throughout the FedExCup era, PGA National Resorts Champion Course in Palm Beach Gardens is the host. * - Rob is a member of the panel for PGATOUR.COMs Expert Picks for PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, which also publishes on Tuesday. As always, Ill prefer distance, but you can get around here in a variety of ways. He joins Luke List (Farmers Insurance Open) and Tom Hoge (AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am) as new champions. PGA Championship Fantasy Golf Power Rankings (odds via DraftKings as of May 12) 1. @StewartCink is already rocking a @KDTrey5 jersey pic.twitter.com/FQLxm4tuo8. 1, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week The PGA Tour had a golf tournament this past weekend, and Sungjae Im didn't participate. You could certainly argue that over the past few weeks, Spain's Jon Rahm was performing like the best player in the world. He finished 5 over, which was third-worst among players who made the cut. His PGA TOUR Horse for the Course for daily fantasy golf based on course history. Winners become PGA TOUR members for life, but theyre treated to so much more. Burns ranks 16th in strokes gained per round putting (.723) and is 16th in driving distance (312.0). With primary rough at least 3 inches high, distance and accuracy off the tee plays up all week. Detroit Golf Club is a shorter par-72, measuring 7,370 yards and is one of the easiest courses on the circuit. The through line is hitting greens in regulation no matter how that equation is written for the individual. Previous rank: 1 However, giving the benefit of the doubt that, indeed, his game can travel, the third-ranked putter on TOUR deserves attention on a track that, like TPC Summerlin, can capitalize on piling up the scoring opportunities. *All stats are from a players last 24 rounds. Brutally difficult conditions led to Scottie Scheffler persevering to win at 5-under last year. The former Pepperdine star did everything he could in trying to become only the sixth player in the last 15 seasons to win a tournament with a sponsor exemption. He had been too inconsistent off the tee and his putting hadn't been great, either. 5. Xander Schauffele : Schauffele has been a bit lost since he tied the lead in Phoenix on Saturday, as he dropped to 10th there on Sunday and had a strange week at Riviera. One prize fight after another. Scottie Scheffler Of the 23 Player Impact Program winners, the only not to commit is Tiger Woods. Like Deion Sanders, Rickie Fowler is coming. 1 coming out of the tournament. The PGA Tour's Florida Swing kicks off this week in Palm Beach Gardens when the 2023 Honda Classic tees off at PGA National. Pro golf will be back to California this summer for the U.S. Open at Los Angeles Country Club, but the PGA Tours West Coast swing is in the books. Those rarities occurred in the third round (69.85) in 2014 and the second round (69.61) in 2017. 22. They're the 25 who have played the best this season and have the best form right now. This will be even more pronounced in tomorrow's slate, with winds looking to be brutal as the day progresses. Previous rank: 6 Did the former world No. Of course, he remains indefinitely beholden to when his extended recovery will allow him to play in accordance with a chosen schedule. FREE Picks Contest For the Arnold Palmer Invitational: Win An Amazon Gift Card Instantly! Cameron Smith The strongest that the invisible force will get is approximately 20 mph, but the positive spin, as it were, is that it'll be consistent throughout the tournament. This is the fourth designated event of the season. That means a $10 bet returns $65 of profit if the red-hot Spaniard . Schauffele made too many mistakes down the stretch to end a three-year drought without a victory on tour. Just a friendly reminder that these aren't necessarily the 25 most talented players in the . Rafael Campos The 34-year-old native of Puerto Rico hasnt been the same since an injured left elbow thwarted his only DNP in tournament history in 2020. It's probably only a matter of time before Burns starts heating up again, after a relatively quiet start to 2023. I feel like I'm way better than that and I've been working harder to try to do that.". Even with a playoff loss Sunday, one can argue that the reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year is playing better than anyone right now -- even world No. Young, the 2022 PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, had quite the week. More ESPN+ content . It didnt matter to him that there were two fewer par 5s at the time, but thats always been a cornerstone weapon for the 82-time PGA TOUR winner. The next step in Lees young career is playing well on the PGA Tour. Rory McIlroy : Lets not overreact to a very cold putter from McIlroy in mediocre results at Phoenix and Riviera. Its clear the Englishman loves the firm conditions and high winds that are often present in Orlando. Ranks 2nd in SG: APP and 4th in GIRs Gained. 21. The North Dakota native is on a remarkable run. 12. Beyond that, his ball striking isnt reaching the ceilings weve grown to expect from him. TUESDAY*: Power Rankings (Puerto Rico), Sleepers (API), SUNDAY: Payouts and Points (API), Payouts and Points (Puerto Rico), Medical Extensions, Qualifiers, Reshuffle. Matt Fitzpatrick 1 for much of last season, when he won four times, including his first major championship (at the Masters). Were now onto a multi-week jaunt through Florida starting with the Honda Classic. The field gets a primer on Thursday when gusts might touch 20 mph. Missed fairways will be inevitable, so playing out of the thick rough with short irons instead of long irons is a big advantage. These Bermuda greens are fast and pure, and the winner here tends to have a really strong week with the flat stick. Ranks 7th in SG: OTT and 7th in SG: APP. Power Rankings: PGA Championship. Previous rank: 9 Dustin Johnson PGA Tour Power Rankings: 2016 Honda Classic 1. After tying for 25th in back-to-back starts at the Tournament of Champions and Farmers Insurance Open, he was much better in Phoenix, finishing solo fourth at 13 under. 19. 1. The cash and the stakes arent as high as they were in recent weeks in Scottsdale and Los Angeles, but the Honda Classic is still a worthwhile watch. Bay Hill already is one of if not the hardest par 72 in a non-major in every season last years scoring average of 73.886 easily set the mark among its peers but consider that, in relatively docile conditions a year ago, the opening-round scoring average still was 72.292! Free to enter! Kevin Yu and Joseph Bramlett both finished T7 at Pebble and didnt get into the WM as predicted, but only Bramlett is committed to the Honda (as of Monday). That makes Proximity: 200+ Yards a key statistic this week since we seen many courses go by where players barely hit a long iron outside of Par 5s. Kokrak won the Houston Open in November, his third victory in 13 months. He hit the ball well last year, gaining nearly 2 strokes per round tee-to-green on the field, but his putting was dreadful, which is why he finished in a tie for 43rd. With that being said, some of the players who have caught fire on the greens arent necessarily great putters historically, so well take an average look at SG: Putting on Bermuda. There are designated events, and then there is the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. PGA Tour Power Rankings: Arnold Palmer Invitational Written by Tyler Duke Last Updated Feb 28, 2023 Each week in our golf power rankings, we will highlight the top players on the PGA TOUR in order of likeliness to win the tournament. The defending Genesis Invitational champ is starting to find his form. The Norwegian went into Phoenix as one of the hottest golfers on the planet, having won in three of his past five starts on the PGA Tour and DP World Tour. He was 3-under after 36 holes and trailed by 9 shots. Bay Hill already is one of if not the hardest par 72 in a non-major in every season last years scoring average of 73.886 easily set the mark among its peers but consider that, in relatively docile conditions a year ago, the opening-round scoring average still was 72.292! Shane Lowry : Im going to make the prediction that Lowry ends his strange poor history of four missed cuts here this week. The 26-year-old finished runner-up in two of the four majors in 2022, finished tied for sixth at the Masters and also recorded top-five performances at Muirfield Village and Torrey Pines. McIlroy (2018) is another former champion of the tournament. Both made their way into the PGA Tour Power Rankings, which had quite a few adjustments from a week ago. Daytime highs could hit 90 degrees until the wind shifts. During a 12-hole stretch in the second round, Im needed only 14 putts. 18. He has three top-10s in his past four starts at Riviera, where he has never won. 3. He had one of the better fall swings of anyone on tour. Hes never played the Arnold Palmer, but Cantlay has strong results in Florida and enjoys tough conditions. Sam Burns On Sunday, Scottie Scheffler reminded everyone in the sport who was ranked No. The Arnold Palmer Invitational field is absolutely loaded, led by world #1 Jon Rahm. In his first start at the Genesis last year, he tied for 15th at 4-under, 8 strokes behind winner Max Homa. Get ESPN+ here | Download the app | WatchESPN. He should be well rested after taking last week off following a missed cut at the Genesis Invitational. He carded a 7-under 64 in the third round of the WM Phoenix Open, his 15th such round of 64 or better since 2021. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. If you want more Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions at even longer odds, our experts suggest looking at Jason Day (+3000), Billy Horschel (+10000) and Tom Hoge (+12500). Previous rank: 21 Theegala is the first player this season to hold at least a share of two 54-hole leads. There havent been any significant modifications to Grand Reserve, a stock par 72 on the coast east of San Juan. PGATOUR.coms Rob Bolton recaps and previews every tournament from numerous perspectives. "I'm gonna say exactly what 99.99 percent of fans said about players leaving . For a variety of reasons. This week, the tour heads to the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, for the unofficial "fifth major," which now has a $20 . After finishing solo fifth at Phoenix, he now has three top-10s and seven top-25s in nine starts this season. He carded an 8-under 63 in the second round, the lowest round of the tournament, and hit all 18 greens in regulation, which he had done only one other time in 843 official rounds on tour. He tied for third at the American Express and 13th at the Farmers Insurance Open, followed by a tie for 10th at the Phoenix Open. Xander Schauffele Ultimately, his top-10 exemption wasnt necessary, anyway, as the entire. Corey Conners : Conners will be happy hes off the West Coast considering his usual struggles there. Cameron Young : The short game is still in shambles, but Young is showing signs of late with the elite ball striking that led him to Rookie of the Year in 2022. Previous rank: 3 Perks for the winner, a brief breakdown of Grand Reserve Golf Club and more can be found below. Schauffele made more than 89 feet of putts -- on the first five holes Sunday. 13. Jon Rahm : Rahms numbers in the model this week are just absurd, and hes a runaway No. He has 10 top-10s in 14 starts there, including a victory in 2020. Since tying for second at the Shriners Children's Open in early October, he tied for 16th at the Tournament of Champions, tied for 26th at the American Express and missed the cut in Phoenix, where he lost in a playoff to Scheffler last season. But this trip to Florida will be an interesting challenge for him, as just two of his 22 Top 10s have come here. Day had just two top-10s and five top-25s in 19 starts last season. Each week in our golf power rankings, we will highlight the top players on the PGA TOUR in order of likeliness to win the tournament. You can bet on the Arnold Palmer Invitational at DraftKings Sportsbook. 6. Just like his new world ranking, the Spaniard cant seem to do anything wrong currently, and hell be looking for his 4th win of the year this week. Justin Thomas is one to watch this week at the PGA Championship. is making his 2023 debut: Scheffler picked up his fifth victory over the past 365 days, but he hasn't been as consistent as Rahm during the past few months. The California native has already won twice in his home state this season, picking up victories at the Fortinet Championship in Napa and Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. By signing up here for a new account right now, all new users can lock in their chance at $150 in bonus bets. Will Zalatoris : It was good to see him play well at Riviera with a 4th place finish and nearly 8 strokes gained with his ball striking. Ranks 9th in SG: Par 5 and 12th in High Winds. A cozy field of 120 is chasing a winners cut of 550 FedExCup points and $3.6 million from a prize fund of $20 million. Scottie Scheffler became the third straight first-time winner on tour, beating Patrick Cantlay in a sudden-death playoff with a 26-foot putt Sunday at TPC Scottsdale. In fact, a field has beaten par in a round just twice since PGA National assumed its role as the host in 2007. What I value as much as anything with approaches this week is long iron play. While hes been a menace at events like the Valspar Championship and Sanderson Farms Championship, the Arnold Palmer Invitational is one hed like to pick off next. Some of the top golfers on the PGA Tour have kick-started their careers with wins in Puerto Rico, including Tony Finau in 2016 and Viktor Hovland in 2019. Patrick Cantlay Has only one start at Bay Hill. Thats enough of an intro. Scoring will be the name of the game this week. Hideki Matsuyama 1 in the Official World Golf Ranking. He hadn't missed the weekend since the 2021 Masters. Finished 5th here last year. PGA Championship 2022 Power Rankings: Top-50 Players This Week at Southern Hills Golf Credit: Getty Images. 15 and 17 annually are among the most challenging as a set on TOUR, a fact due to sustained breezes from a southeasterly direction. 2 in the world, will regain the top spot after becoming the seventh player to repeat as champion of the WM Phoenix Open, an event he claimed last year for his first PGA Tour victory. Just make sure to click here to create your new DraftKings account today. 91 to No. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. TPC Southwind boasts 94 bunkers and 10 water hazards, and usually ranks as a top-third difficult course. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. With tree-lined, narrow fairways on a longer course, elite drivers of the golf ball are at an upper hand at Bay Hill. Sundays finale easily will be the best round in the context of scoring conditions, but Bay Hills bite might strengthen even more than usual as the wind will rotate and howl in from the north. Previous rank: 17 All you have to do is place a bet of at least $5 bet on any pre-game money line, and you wont even need a DraftKings promo code. Previous rank: 8 He missed the cut in each of his past two starts at Riviera, after finishing solo second there in 2019, 1 shot behind winner J.B. Holmes. Hell bank 300 FedExCup points and $684,000 of a record prize fund of $3.8 million. Over his past six starts, Hoge finished tied for fourth, missed cut, solo second, missed cut, first and a tie for 14th. MJ Daffue The first-time PGA TOUR member finally connected for his first top 25 of the season at The Honda Classic. It was his ninth consecutive top-10 finish worldwide; he was in the top five in seven of his past nine events. If you are looking to back our Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions, be sure to do so at DraftKings Sportsbook. Look for his following contributions as scheduled. Six were top-fives. by Mastercard Rd 2 - Suspended ESPN+ ESPN Search. Competed once before at Grand Reserve, finishing T52 in 2020 via a sponsor exemption. PGA Tour Power Rankings: Is Jon Rahm ready to return to the top? Since Scheffler's first victory at TPC Scottsdale a year ago, he has collected $17.6 million in official earnings, not including what he won at the Tour Championship at the end of last season. Northern Ireland's Rory McIlroy entered the year ranked No. His career victory total is second among South Korean golfers; K.J. Bay Hill has been a stock par 72 since 2010. Ranks 1st in SG: Par 5, 2nd in SG: APP and 2nd in the model. He finished fifth in the Genesis Invitational last season. He finished T16. Weve seen some tougher courses for Par 5 scoring as of late, but Bay Hill is a place where you really want to get your birdies on those four holes and survive for the rest of the round. Bay Hill has been a stock par 72 since 2010. When it does, it could make a difference of 10-15 degrees cooler. His career-low round, of course, was a 59 at the 2020 Northern Trust. MEN -- 10 needed to qualify on nine worldwide tours: PGA Tour, PGA European Tour, Nationwide Tour, Japan Golf Tour, Southern Africa Tour, PGA Tour of AustralAsia .

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